Report: Trump (narrowly) exceeding expectations among Hispanic voters

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Published by: Robert Laurie on Tuesday September 20th, 2016

Don't be sheep.

According to Hillary-friendly media, Hispanic voters are about to hand the 2016 election to Bill Clinton's wife. We've heard over and over that Trump's immigration stance has decimated the GOP's already-meager support among Latinos, and this has doomed his electoral chances. 

The problem is that Hillary's tidal wave of Hispanic support doesn't appear to be materializing. Admittedly Trump isn't doing well with Hispanics, but the polling shows he isn't doing any worse than Romney did in 2012.

From The Hill:

But as of right now, there is not much evidence to suggest that Trump is faring any worse among Hispanics than did Romney, who at one point argued that illegal immigrants in the United States could be persuaded to “self-­deport.”

In some places, Trump is actually outperforming Romney. In Nevada, for example, President Obama ran up a 47-point margin of victory among Hispanic voters in 2012, according to exit polls, defeating Romney 71 percent to 24 percent. A recent Marist poll in the state for NBC News and The Wall Street Journal showed Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton leading among Hispanics, but by the smaller margin of 35 points, 65 percent to 30 percent.

A series of Univision polls earlier this month surveying Hispanic voters in four battleground states — Arizona, Colorado, Florida and Nevada — also put Trump in the same ballpark as Romney four years ago. Clinton’s lead over Trump among Hispanics in Colorado was smaller than Obama’s margin in that state in 2012.

A Bloomberg Politics "poll decoder" on Tuesday averaged several national surveys and found Clinton leading among Hispanics by 38 points. But Obama won the group by six points more in 2012, according to exit polls.

This, of course, has Dems quaking in their boots.

With polls suggesting that Hillary is faring poorly with white working class voters, millennials, and independents, she desperately needs to maintain - and expand - Obama's numbers with minorities.  If that's not happening, she could be in far more trouble than anyone suspected.

Obviously, there's still over a month until Election Day. The debates will alter these numbers and there's always the chance that they're under estimating the reality of Hillary's support.  

Still, if you're a Democrat, this is the kind of thing that has to keep you up at night.

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